‘It’s An Orgy!’ Industry Reacts To US Bitcoin Futures Go-Ahead

“It’s an orgy” is how one strategist described the breaking news that US regulators have approved Bitcoin futures to start this month.

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) confirmed Friday that CME Group and CBOE had met the requirements for regulated trading, while Cantor Exchange would also be able to debut Bitcoin binary options.

The news quickly rippled out across the industry and media, with a stream of delighted bullish statements gracing Twitter and other platforms.

Bitcoin prices are reacting in kind as of press time, with a surge towards $11,000 well underway. Bitcoin has gained $700 in a matter of hours, with another $600 to go before all-time highs of $11,360 seen earlier this week are challenged.

Curious alternative responses are meanwhile coming from the likes of Digital Currency Group CEO Barry Silbert.

Speaking on CNBC about the futures approval, Silbert told the audience they should look to take profits from the price rally and put them into Ethereum Classic and ZCash.

“I think it is going to enable finally the approval of Bitcoin ETFs, and other digital currency ETFs, which is game-changing,” he added.

Ethereum Classic is currently among the biggest successes of Bitcoin’s huge price increases this week, with today’s reversal generating near 30 percent growth for the altcoin.

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Study Shows Millennials Favor Bitcoin Over Traditional Banking

One in four millennials are investing their hard-earned money in the leading digital currency Bitcoin instead of opening traditional bank accounts. They claim that they earn more from their Bitcoin investments and their money is safer, according to a survey.

Based on the survey conducted Blockchain Capital, 70% of the 10,000 millennials who were polled claimed that they are not content with the interest rates offered by banks and almost 65% said that their money is safer in Bitcoin because they personally control it. The survey also showed that nearly two-thirds of female respondents have begun to branch out from Bitcoin and invested in other digital currencies in order to diversify their portfolio.

Other highlights of the survey

Despite their preference of Bitcoin as a form of investment, slightly less than 50% of the millennials surveyed said that they are also looking for a more convenient form of banking and 45% stated that they want their banks to integrate Bitcoin wallets in their operation so that they can directly invest in cryptocurrencies through their existing bank accounts.

The survey also estimated that the majority of millennials will invest around two-thirds of their savings into virtual currencies. According to the site founder Andrew Sung, the survey results showed that the younger generation is much quicker to embrace new technologies than their older counterparts.

“The younger generation has been notoriously quicker to act on new technologies, including the latest smartphones, which have enabled millennials to invest in Bitcoin over the last few years, before large hedge funds and financial institutions started to get involved.”

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Bitcoin Price Unstoppable

Despite hitting $10,000 among major exchanges just hours ago, Bitcoin has already tackled $11,000 as markets show no signs of slowing.

The first hours of Wednesday saw $10,000 come and ago on Coinbase, Bitstamp, Bitfinex and others, with trading continuing to just below $10,700 before a correction.

That correction was short-lived, however, with Bitcoin then passing that mark to first hover around $10,750 and then continue to the next barrier soon afterwards.

Both Bitcoin’s rate of growth and comparative lack of volatility are unprecedented in its history.

Prices are up almost 1500% in 2017 alone, with expectations by even the more optimistic forecasters now seeming modest.

New bubble warnings in the mainstream press contrast with investment sources at a loss as to how high Bitcoin could go in 2018.

BTCC CEO Bobby Lee even took a randomized approach, basing his $48,000 prediction on the number of his Twitter followers.

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Bitcoin is an Economic Miracle: Cambridge Professor

Dr. Garrick Hileman, an economic historian at the University of Cambridge and the London School of Economics, explained in an interview with CNN that Bitcoin is nothing short of an economic miracle.

Hileman stated:

“Many economists dismissed it as a flawed form of money, something that could never achieve the level of adoption that it has. Today we estimate 5 to 10 million unique active users of cryptocurrencies, and in my opinion that’s nothing short of a minor economic miracle.”

What Bitcoin represents

Bitcoin is the world’s first form of decentralized money; a store of value that is censorship-resistant and that is immutable against manipulation by central entities, authorities and governments.

The decentralized structure and peer-to-peer protocol of Bitcoin are unique in that they allow the Bitcoin network to operate as its own economy, without intermediaries and third party service providers. While some central banks and financial institutions have begun to fear such aspects of Bitcoin, the Bank of Finland encouraged economists to study the “marvelous structure” of Bitcoin.

In a paper entitled “Monopoly without a monopolist: An economic analysis of the Bitcoin payment system,” Bank of Finland researchers wrote:

“Bitcoin is not regulated. It cannot be regulated. There is no need to regulate it because as a system it is committed to the protocol as is and the transaction fees it charges the users are determined by the users independently of the miners’ efforts. Bitcoin’s design as an economic system is revolutionary and therefore would merit an economist’s attention and scrutiny even if it had not been functional. Its apparent functionality and usefulness should further encourage economists to study this marvelous structure.”

Global impact

As mentioned above, Hileman described Bitcoin as an economic miracle, but a “minor” one. However, at this stage in which the market valuation of Bitcoin has surpassed that of major banks at $166 bln and the liquidity of Bitcoin is higher than that of most stock markets, it is difficult to justify any aspect of Bitcoin as “minor.”

Bitcoin has had a major impact on the global financial system over the past eleven months, and it will continue to transform the finance industry at a rapid pace. Already, institutional investors have begun to move into the Bitcoin market. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong revealed that approximately $10 bln in institutional money are awaiting to be invested in digital currencies such as Bitcoin.

“Over 100 hedge funds have been created in the past year exclusively to trade digital currency. An even greater number of traditional institutional investors are starting to look at trading digital assets (including family offices, sovereign wealth funds, traditional hedge funds, and more). By some estimates there is $10 bln of institutional money waiting on the sidelines to invest in digital currency today,” wrote Armstrong.

Economic miracle

Naturally, as major hedge funds and large-scale investment banks shift towards Bitcoin, general consumers and casual investors will follow. Then, Bitcoin will no longer be a minor economic miracle but a major one, which will inevitably shape the finance sector in the long-term.

Leading economies like the US, Japan and South Korea have already recognized Bitcoin as a legal currency and store of value, providing regulations to cryptocurrency exchanges, businesses and investors.

As a currency, Hileman also noted that Bitcoin is increasingly being used in the luxury markets, to process or settle large transactions without the expensive and inefficient services of banks.

“If you’re only paying a $2 transaction fee on a piece of art that’s worth tens of thousands, the fee is basically zero. But if you’re paying two or three percent on a piece of art of that value, then the numbers can go up quite a bit,” added Hileman.

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Individuals Flock to Bitcoin and Asian Demand Soars, Pushing Price to All Time High

Bitcoin seems to be going from strength to strength, recording a new all time high of $9,500 on Sunday. While this is impressive in itself, investors who held Bitcoin before August 1 are doing even better, as the combined price of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash has crossed $10,000.

New all time high

After a relatively quiet few days, Bitcoin seems poised to resume its uptrend. The price jumped on Saturday up from a low of $8,200 to cross $8,700 in under 12 hours. The rally seemed to be driven by retail investors in Asia, with the largest volume being traded on Bithumb and Bitfinex. Bitcoin seems to have shrugged off the $30 mln hacking of Tether, which some had speculated could destabilize Bitfinex and by extension Bitcoin itself. Bitcoin bulls like Ronnie Moas and Mike Novogratz who predicted that Bitcoin would reach $10K in 2017 may be proven correct shortly.

Growing demand from individual investors

The number of users of the popular exchange Coinbase has been growing in leaps and bounds in 2017. Many in the digital currency world have been monitoring the speed with which Coinbase has been adding users, since that can be taken as a measure of Bitcoin’s retail adoption. According to data compiled by Alistair Milne, of the Altana Digital Currency Fund, the number of users of Coinbase has increased from about 5 mln at the start of 2017 to 13.1 mln today.

Over 100k users were added in 24 hours at the start of November, when CME announced that it would launch Bitcoin futures trading. During Thanksgiving weekend, Coinbase again crossed that mark, with another 100k users signed up in 24 hours.  Individual investors seem to be afraid of missing out on buying Bitcoin, which might become unaffordable once the institutional money starts flowing in.

Bitcoin + Bitcoin Cash crosses $10K

Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash proponents may not see eye-to-eye on a scaling solution, but they share significant overlap among their user base. Most Bitcoin users, who didn’t actively trade after the August hard fork, hold equal amounts of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. The combined value of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash has now crossed $10k. If we include the value of other forks like Bitcoin Gold and Bitcoin Diamond, the value would be even higher.

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Bitcoin Crushes $9,000 on Growing Signs of Mainstream Adoption

Bitcoin has officially hit the $9,000 mark today, as the massive user adoption from hedge funds, soon-to-be-released futures markets and further increases in the number of users.

Ironically, many on the /r/BitcoinMarkets subreddit expected the price to drop over the Thanksgiving weekend, in part due to US banks being closed. However, over the past week the price had shown strength, consolidating in the low $8,000s. Twice the price briefly dipped into the $7,800 range, but those dips were rapidly bought.

Apparently people didn’t merely take advantage of Black Friday to buy TVs and electronics, but also stocked up on Bitcoin. The price began trending up yesterday as the market began adding volume, and today broke the next major psychological hurdle of $9,000.

More to come?

Thought many mainstream finance pundits regard Bitcoin as a bubble, the market has not shown any signs of a so-called “blow off top,” meaning a sudden and major reversal is unlikely at the moment. Bubble cycles often end with a massive spike in prices that’s almost immediately followed by an even larger sell-off.

The next major hurdle, and arguably the largest psychological barrier of all, is $10,000. However, that may not be as hard to breach as one might think, considering that the combined price of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash already well exceeds $10,000. That is to say, anybody who owned Bitcoin prior to August 1 and didn’t sell their Bitcoin Cash is already enjoying prices in excess of the next major target.

Analysts such as the normally bearish Tom Lee, founder of Fundstrat, are turning bullish. Lee recently indicated that his near term price projection is $14,000. He explains away the brief dip that followed the cancellation of SegWit2x as a shaking out of weak hands. At press time, Bitcoin’s price on the GDAX exchange was $9,439.

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Chicago Board Options Exchange to Launch Bitcoin Futures, Announces Specifics

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) has released its new Bitcoin derivative contract specifications in late November 2017, with the product itself to be introduced in the market in the next few weeks. With the move, the exchange follows other financial institutions in introducing Bitcoin futures products.

The CBOE will use the XBT ticker for its new products. The ticker is exactly the same as the one being used by Bitcoin exchange Kraken in its platform. It is also expected that CBOE will introduce different types of contracts in the near future in its bid to secure a major market share quickly. The product launching, however, will be mainly dependent on the performance of its new products.

High demand for Bitcoin-based financial products

The demand for Bitcoin-based financial products is very high right now because of the continuous surge in the price of the number one cryptocurrency. Several financial institutions have also taken a complete turnaround on their assessment of Bitcoin.

Among them is Goldman Sachs, which is now advising its investors not to ignore Bitcoin anymore. This is a complete about-face by the investment bank, which has previously criticized the digital currency.

The high demand for Bitcoin futures and derivatives products is resulting in very tough competitions among industry players. With the entry of CBOE, competition is expected to intensify further because the exchange is the biggest of its kind in the US. It remains to be seen, however, if the exchange can outperform its competitors in this area.

To effectively compete, there are issues that should be resolved by the exchange. Among these issues is how to relate its contracts to spot Bitcoin pricing. The exchange previously announced that it will extend its trading hours and all its Bitcoin-related transactions will be settled in cash. Whether these strategies are effective, however, remain to be seen.

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Former US Presidential Candidate Ron Paul Promotes Bitcoin-based Retirement Investments

Former Republican Congressman and US presidential candidate, Ron Paul, was hired as an endorser of Bitcoin-based retirement instruments. In his endorsement for the cryptocurrency firm, which is a subsidiary of Goldco, Paul touted to Americans the benefits of entrusting their savings to the Bitcoin-based retirement account provider.

In a video that accompanied an article titled “Ron Paul Is Shilling for a Bitcoin Retirement Fund Exactly Where You’d Expect” that was published by Mashable as of mid-November 2017, Paul urged Americans to contact cryptocurrency company to know more about the various investment options that are based on Bitcoin.

Paul also claimed that he is excited about the various options that Bitcoin opens up in the retirement sector.

“As a firm believer in currency competition, I’m excited to see the options that Bitcoin opens up.”

Other companies are offering Bitcoin-based retirement account services

Aside from the promoted company, other firms are providing full services for Bitcoin-based retirement accounts. The companies provide assistance to their customers in purchasing Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies through their individual retirement accounts (IRA) or 401Ks. These firms claim that digital IRAs allow Americans to invest in virtual currencies such as Ethereum and Bitcoin.

“Digital IRAs are unique retirement accounts that allow you to invest in digital currencies (also known as cryptocurrencies) like Bitcoin and Ethereum, in addition to the conventional assets that you utilize already.”

Such solutions are not new. In fact, one company previously shared that has raised over $2 mln within six months of its launch. As millennials tend to shy away from traditional investment options, many investors in their twenties actually prefer to diversify their investments despite the supposed risks.

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Square, Inc Integrates Bitcoin

Earlier this week, $16 bln payments app Square officially integrated Bitcoin into its mobile platform, enabling three mln active users to buy, sell and store Bitcoin seamlessly.

Jack Dorsey, the CEO at Twitter and Square, particularly expressed his enthusiasm towards the potential of Bitcoin as a robust store of value, and the Square team’s optimism surrounding the long-term growth trend of Bitcoin.

In an interview with Forbes, a Square representative explained:

“We’re always listening to our customers and we’ve found that they are interested in using the Cash App to buy Bitcoin. We’re exploring how Square can make this experience faster and easier, and have rolled out this feature to a small number of Cash App customers. We believe cryptocurrency can greatly impact the ability of individuals to participate in the global financial system and we’re excited to learn more here.”

Market cap of Square surges by $1 bln after Bitcoin integration

Since Friday, the share price and the market cap of Square have increased by nearly 10 percent, as the company’s market cap rose from $15 bln to $16 bln within a five day period.

Various reports since September have revealed that Bitcoin has become a trendy and in-demand keyword within most major industries. Even large-scale multi-billion dollar companies such as Square and Overstock have started to experience major surges in their market valuations following their integration of Bitcoin and Blockchain technology.

More importantly, the integration of Bitcoin allows major payments app like Square to compete with existing service providers within the cryptocurrency and Bitcoin markets, which are dominated by a handful of companies including Coinbase and Blockchain. Given that Coinbase has evolved into a $1.6 bln startup within the past 12 months, companies in the traditional finance sector have begun to consider integrating Bitcoin and offering infrastructure around the cryptocurrency.

What comes next with Square?

In consideration of the company’s optimism in regards to the long-term growth and adoption rate of Bitcoin and its CEO Jack Dorsey’s enthusiasm towards the cryptocurrency market, it is highly likely that the development team behind Square will actively investigate the possibility of full Bitcoin integration throughout its platform.

For many years, Square has operated a widely utilized Point of Sale (PoS) network that has been used by hundreds of thousands of merchants globally. The integration of Bitcoin into the Square PoS network would immediately enable anyone to use Bitcoin at Square-using merchants such as restaurants, cafes and stores.

Whether Square intends to pursue the integration of Bitcoin into its PoS system remains unclear. But, major PoS operators in major regions like Japan have already started the process of integrating Bitcoin. Most notably, Recruit Lifestyle’s AirRegi PoS app, which supports more than 200,000 merchants in Japan, has rolled out Bitcoin integration and is expected to provide extensive support to over 20,000 merchants by the end of this year.

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After Declines, Bitcoin Comes Back Stronger

They say a bad penny always turns up. While the saying may refer to an unwelcome guest, the same could be said for Bitcoin, according to recent analysis by CNBC. Based on chart evaluations, Bitcoin price has always increased substantially after dips greater than 20 percent.

The rise in Bitcoin prices for the four previous dips over 20 percent were substantial. On average, the cryptocurrency posted 61.5 percent gains in each cycle after substantial sell-offs. This astounding number has lead to an increased desire among insiders to ‘buy the dips’ – to purchase Bitcoin during the lows and realize the substantial gains as the price continues to rise.

Bulls and bears and Bitcoin, oh my!

The most recent drop over the weekend spurred on by the death of the SegWit2x hard fork proposal from the New York Agreement, appears to be no different. After more than 20 percent declines, the price has already recovered peaking in recent trading over $6,500. This response seems to indicate that the fundamentals underlying the recent increases in price are real.

While most industry insiders are pleased with the recovery, even calling it a ‘speed bump,’ many see the power of the biggest Bitcoin players as a potentially negative risk point for the cryptocurrency. Moshe Hogeg of Sirin Labs said:

“While we are still miles away from resolving the high volatility of Bitcoin, I find it encouraging that it’s quickly overcoming volatility that in past years registered as ‘earthquakes,’ and is today registering as no more than ‘speed-bumps.’ That said, I do find it quite worrisome that very few insiders have such leverage in a market that ought to be the bellwether for decentralized currencies.”

Beyond the negative risk association, though, the market has continued to show that Bitcoin is a genuine store of value something akin to gold. Large swaths of the Bitcoin supply are still held in private wallets completely outside of the market, and many of those may never see the light of day. Insiders remain confident that the market will continue its bull run, though not forever. As Oleg Seydak CEO of Blackmoon Crypto said:

Bitcoin is still the crypto gold. It’s the gateway coin and the main store of value within the cryptoeconomy. It’s also considered as a defensive asset in periods of volatility of the market. The main question is when the growth will finish – and the right answer is, we don’t know. But players should be careful with expectations and trading and not be misled by the continuous boom in price. Nothing can grow with such speed forever.

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